Thursday, July 09, 2009

Palin's Forte for 2010: The Field of Dreams in Politics

Here is the conventional wisdom in politics, a candidate cannot win without their base.

The sophisticated pundits have been talking about the Republican base as if it were shrinking. What is shrinking within the Republican party is; the conservative base that has left the Republican party to become Independents.

That conservative base is where Palin brings her star power to the 2010 midterm elections.

Note to the professional pundits. You are new to the Palin factor and your conventional wisdom was really never conventional or wisdom at all.

Your analysis is called the status quo in the mundane thinking in politics.

For Palin, she brings with her travels the base that is still with the Republican party and outside the Republican party.

Pay no attention to the psycho babble of the professional pundits that have hypnotized many to think the base is shrinking, the base has been waiting for a candidate to rescue them from the doldrums of the status quo.

She is the Field of Dreams for that "shrinking base" that has laid and waited for that candidate to come along and rescue them from the mundane thinking of the status quo.

Who needs to quote the movie Field of Dreams' character, Ray Kinsella telling his wife "It's okay honey, I ... I was just talking to the cornfield" when you had a cornfield being cut down with Palin's figure.

You want life imitating art? You have it. Then there is the character Terrence Mann quoting about a misplaced past.

They'll pass over the money without even thinking about it: for it is money they have and peace they lack. And they'll walk out to the bleachers; sit in shirtsleeves on a perfect afternoon. They'll find they have reserved seats somewhere along one of the baselines, where they sat when they were children and cheered their heroes. And they'll watch the game and it'll be as if they dipped themselves in magic waters. The memories will be so thick they'll have to brush them away from their faces. People will come Ray. The one constant through all the years, Ray, has been baseball. America has rolled by like an army of steamrollers. It has been erased like a blackboard, rebuilt and erased again. But baseball has marked the time. This field, this game: it's a part of our past, Ray. It reminds of us of all that once was good and it could be again. Oh... people will come Ray. People will most definitely come.

Remember those large crowds that came to see Palin?

For politics, Palin is what that "shrinking base" is looking for.

Many thought Obama was that "Field of Dreams" moment, but as his road show continues, instead of dreams, people are finding out, he is nothing more than the travelling snake oil salesman of politics and he sold the American people false hope.

In today's WaPo, there is talk of Republican recruitment efforts.

Candidate recruitment is often a leading political indicator," said Ed Brookover, a longtime operative at the National Republican Congressional Committee and now a GOP media consultant. "Challenger candidates are often the first to feel a change in the political winds."

Recent polling suggests that while President Obama remains extremely popular personally, the popularity of his policies -- particularly on the economy -- is flagging somewhat. A new Quinnipiac University survey of Ohio voters showed that 49 percent approved of the job Obama is doing while 44 percent disapproved, a massive drop-off from an early May Q poll that showed Obama riding high at 62 percent approve/31 percent disapprove.

And, as the Post's Dan Balz noted, Obama's numbers in that poll faltered not among Republicans, which is to be expected, but rather among independents and even some Democrats -- a worrisome trend for the incumbent.

As I pointed out on the previous thread, Ohio should be a state for Palin to test her political moxie.

Take note you Republican elite who remain stuck in the status quo, Ohio is ready for Palin.

And the folks at SarahPac should start to seriously think about the road show that lays ahead, because in Ohio, that "shrinking base" is looking for that Field of Dreams in the world of politics.

1 comment:

Bungalow Bill said...

Ohio is a great state to test. Obama's popularity has shrunk quickly in Ohio. Of course, when you have a few hundred thousand voters that didn't exist and don't respond to polls, it's easy to see one of the reasons it shrunk so quickly.

Good ol' ACORN, I mean Community Organizers International.